The one thing I was sure about the House of Commons vote on Syria was that it was deeply politically significant domestically.
Although I did not agree with the decision, I thought it was obvious who the winners and losers were at home, and that the news coverage would reflect that. Further, I thought that the winners were pretty much heavily on the same side as the British people in their views, and their polling ratings would affect that.
Yet, at least in YouGov’s series this seems not to be the case. Today’s poll, carried out on Monday/Tuesday, gives Labour a four point lead and 37% of the vote. That’s exactly the same share of the vote that YouGov reported just before the Commons vote.
Further, the individual leader’s ratings published today show very little change on a fortnight ago. In fact I’d say there is no meaningful change at all in the way the leaders are perceived.
I shall write out one thousand lines: The Great British public do not always base their decisions on the issues I think are important.